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Soft Landing Hope Rises
CPI cools and markets drool, Morgan Stanley finds hope in a soft place, and an important update...
Jul 13, 2023
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Soft Landing Hope Rises
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June 2023
Goldman Talks Geopolitics and Equity Cycles...
The BoE blindsides, Goldman's oil frustrations continue, and the optimism phase of this equity cycle may be too optimistic...
Jun 28, 2023
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Goldman Talks Geopolitics and Equity Cycles...
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Pause Without a Cause...?
The Fed creates a momentary "melt up", Goldman takes a victory lap, and markets brood over the Bank of England's bungling...
Jun 21, 2023
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Pause Without a Cause...?
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Goldman Did a Poll...
Some weekend reading for you, along with the results of Goldman's monthly poll of over 900 institutional investors...
Jun 15, 2023
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Goldman Did a Poll...
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The Fed May Skip, and Goldman Has a Theory...
The wishy-washy case for skipping, revisiting wage inflation worries, and Goldman has a theory on this tech rally...
Jun 8, 2023
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The Fed May Skip, and Goldman Has a Theory...
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December 2022
Powell Pumps as Wages Get Revised Up...
Financial conditions continue to ease, wage inflation continues to confound, and the future of Market Making...
Dec 4, 2022
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Powell Pumps as Wages Get Revised Up...
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November 2022
Happy Thanksgiving...
Given how sleepy markets were this week with the holiday, there's just an abbreviated newsletter this week.
Nov 28, 2022
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Happy Thanksgiving...
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Goldman Tries to Predict the Future...
The dominate macro themes of the year ahead, a post-mortem from JPM on last week's risk-on rally, stagflation strikes the United Kingdom, and much…
Nov 20, 2022
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Goldman Tries to Predict the Future...
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Cooling CPI and Raucous Rallies...
Explaining the record-setting risk-on rally, thinking through the Fed's new reaction function, and why Goldman is now floating the idea of raising the…
Nov 13, 2022
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Cooling CPI and Raucous Rallies...
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No Premature Pausing...
Powell breaks out his hawkish handbook, a legendary hedge fund doesn't like what it sees, and the BoE brazenly begs the market to reconsider the yield…
Nov 6, 2022
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No Premature Pausing...
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October 2022
Premature Potential Pivots...
The Fed puts itself in a quandary, the gilt crisis comes to a close, the BoJ embraces rates divergence, and the one question Goldman thinks everyone…
Oct 31, 2022
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Premature Potential Pivots...
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In Search of Market Tremors...
Concerns arise over treasury market liquidity, why volatility could be a virtue to central banks, another intervention occurs, and Goldman rethinks…
Oct 23, 2022
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In Search of Market Tremors...
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Erratic Equities and Gyrating Gilts...
CPI kicks off a bout of volatility, equities leave market participants exasperated, and monetary policy makers may finally be forcing the hand of fiscal…
Oct 16, 2022
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Erratic Equities and Gyrating Gilts...
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Swimming Along the FX Channel...
Goldman's inflationary framework, an update on gilts and oil, and how economic adjustment may increasingly come through the FX channel...
Oct 10, 2022
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Swimming Along the FX Channel...
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Welcome to Market Making
You're going to love it here...
Oct 3, 2022
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Welcome to Market Making
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Disorderly Markets are Getting an Intervention...
Revisiting Goldman's Macro 3D's, The BoE steps forward as gilts and sterling whipsaw, Goldman doesn't (fully) back down on their oil expectations, and…
Oct 2, 2022
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Disorderly Markets are Getting an Intervention...
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